← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4190739

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?

4.9% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 4.9¢

The market prices this at 4.9%, flat over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability4.9%

Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 4.9¢ / 4.9¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.1%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,814

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$130 / $125

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d4.10pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 2d 23h.

Time to resolve2d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%