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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4190831

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?

79.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 80.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 80.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 65% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$14,746
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,324 / $7,307
Imbalance65% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score51.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.64
RSI (14, hourly)64.6
Realized vol 7d5.07pt
Change 1h-4.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth