← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4191395
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6?
48.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 49.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, flat over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$14,929
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$886 / $1,149
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.20
RSI (14, hourly)60.3
Realized vol 7d15.45pt
Change 1h-18.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 11h.
Time to resolve2d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%