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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4191599

Will Alexander Stubb attend King Harald V's funeral?

97.5% implied · bid 97.0¢ · ask 98.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid97.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 97.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 85% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$21
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39 / $267
Imbalance85% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.35
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d9.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 19h.

Time to resolve8d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth