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Will Frank-Walter Steinmeier attend King Harald V's funeral?

97.0% implied · bid 96.0¢ · ask 98.0¢

The market prices this at 83.0%, flat over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid96.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 97.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 39% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$120

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$266 / $519

Imbalance39% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.4 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.29

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d8.61pt

Change 1h+0.25pt

Resolves in 8d 19h.

Time to resolve8d 19h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%