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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4191606

Will Jonas Gahr Støre attend King Harald V's funeral?

99.1% implied · bid 98.3¢ · ask 99.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.4%, flat over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.

Implied probability99.4%
Bid / ask / mid98.3¢ / 99.8¢ / 99.1¢
Spread1.5¢ (1.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 89% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$380
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$157 / $628
Imbalance89% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.32
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d16.56pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 19h.

Time to resolve8d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth