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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4191805

Set 2 Winner: Montes vs Jones

99.6% implied · bid 99.1¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.6%, flat over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid99.1¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,517 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.46
RSI (14, hourly)96.1
Realized vol 7d11.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 15h.

Time to resolve6d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth