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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4196360

Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?

17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 18.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$143
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $12
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 30d 13h.

Time to resolve30d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth