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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4196361

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?

32.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 35.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 32.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$59
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $14
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.70
RSI (14, hourly)60.9
Realized vol 7d4.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 30d 13h.

Time to resolve30d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth