← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4196361
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?
32.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 33.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 32.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$59
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $14
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.70
RSI (14, hourly)60.9
Realized vol 7d4.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 30d 13h.
Time to resolve30d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%