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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4196362

Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?

24.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.5%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$59
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$73 / $29
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.42
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 30d 13h.

Time to resolve30d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth