← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4196363
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?
15.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$260
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $3
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72
RSI (14, hourly)56.3
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 30d 13h.
Time to resolve30d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%