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Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?

31.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

The market prices this at 18.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%

Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 31.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (15.9%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$390

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $14

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

RSI 72 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.16

RSI (14, hourly)72.3

Realized vol 7d3.88pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 118d 6h.

Time to resolve118d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%