← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4199438
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
30.5% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 33.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (16.4%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$231
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $336
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d2.20pt
Change 1h+6.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 5h.
Time to resolve117d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%