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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4199438

Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?

30.5% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 33.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 31.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (16.4%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$231
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $336
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d2.20pt
Change 1h+6.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 5h.

Time to resolve117d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth