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Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?

14.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 14.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (34.5%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$48

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$335 / $32

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.2 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.63

RSI (14, hourly)37.5

Realized vol 7d1.06pt

Change 1h-2.00pt

Resolves in 117d 5h.

Time to resolve117d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%