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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4201623

Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?

97.5% implied · bid 97.0¢ · ask 97.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.0%, up 76.5pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid97.0¢ / 97.9¢ / 97.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+76.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,014
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$107 / $619
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.76
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d11.36pt
Change 1h+6.95pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth