Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4205701

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 4?

2.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 3.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.2%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$18,537
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$142 / $13
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score45.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.47
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d12.43pt
Change 1h-1.70pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 11h.

Time to resolve0d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth