← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4205706

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 4?

5.9% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 6.5¢

The market prices this at 10.4%, flat over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability10.4%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 6.5¢ / 5.9¢

Spread1.3¢ (22.2%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$24,754

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$299 / $601

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score43.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.22

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d11.01pt

Change 1h-35.60pt

Resolves in 0d 11h.

Time to resolve0d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%