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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4205707

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 4?

2.3% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.7%, flat over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability4.7%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.3¢ / 2.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,363
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$65 / $330
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.25pt
Change 1h-6.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 11h.

Time to resolve0d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth