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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4205708

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 4?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.4%, flat over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (18.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $221
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.05
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.91pt
Change 1h-1.70pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 11h.

Time to resolve0d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth