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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4216093

GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?

75.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 76.0%, up 15.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 75.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+15.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 89% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,594
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,502 / $1,332
Imbalance89% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d7.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 482d 5h.

Time to resolve482d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth