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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4223470

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?

94.4% implied · bid 94.3¢ · ask 94.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 94.0%, flat over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.3¢ / 94.5¢ / 94.4¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,932
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,482 / $16,039
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score58.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 85 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.23
RSI (14, hourly)84.8
Realized vol 7d2.30pt
Change 1h+0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth