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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4223471

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?

86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 85.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,995
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,880 / $2,610
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.57
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d2.84pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth