Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4223472

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?

45.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,174
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$203 / $119
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.36
RSI (14, hourly)36.2
Realized vol 7d8.06pt
Change 1h-5.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth