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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4223473

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?

13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,815
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$242 / $122
Imbalance45% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.41
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d7.91pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth