← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4367148

Spread: 49ers (-6.5)

87.5% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 88.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 88.0%, up 32.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%

Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+32.00pt

Change 7d+31.00pt

Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$116,443

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$36,426 / $62,624

Imbalance36% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score94.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 11.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean11.90

RSI (14, hourly)94.3

Realized vol 7d1.94pt

Change 1h+32.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (10)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.