← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4841685
Avalanche vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, down 6.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 73.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h-6.50pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 63/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,139
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33,343 / $11,829
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score62.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 6 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.44
RSI (14, hourly)6.3
Realized vol 7d0.81pt
Change 1h-6.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.