← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4841686
Avalanche vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, down 12.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.5%)
Change 24h-12.50pt
Change 7d-14.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,797
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,165 / $13,223
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score52.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 7 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.11
RSI (14, hourly)6.9
Realized vol 7d1.15pt
Change 1h-11.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.