← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4841690
Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 83.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.2%)
Change 24h-7.00pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$102
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18,359 / $20,186
Imbalance37% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.07
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d0.97pt
Change 1h-10.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.