← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4841692
Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 39.0%, down 15.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability39.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h-15.00pt
Change 7d-15.00pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,628
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,809 / $15,872
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.29
RSI (14, hourly)14.0
Realized vol 7d1.49pt
Change 1h-17.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.