← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4841697
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 57.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability57.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 51.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,408
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,380 / $5,391
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.78
RSI (14, hourly)35.3
Realized vol 7d1.33pt
Change 1h-3.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.