← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130463

Spread: 49ers (-10.5)

75.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 71.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.0%

Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 75.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+4.50pt

Change 7d+4.50pt

Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 86/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$180,773

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,746 / $52,275

Imbalance36% bid

Large trades (>$1k)25

Liquidity score85.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 43.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean43.10

RSI (14, hourly)78.9

Realized vol 7d0.68pt

Change 1h+7.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (10)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.