← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130464
Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, up 9.0pt over 24h, on a 11.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread11.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+9.00pt
Change 7d+8.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$83,732
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)13
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 8.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean8.07
RSI (14, hourly)55.8
Realized vol 7d3.78pt
Change 1h+4.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.