← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130608
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 26.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 14.0¢ spread.
Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread14.0¢ (15.1%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+17.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$5
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.66
RSI (14, hourly)40.6
Realized vol 7d3.52pt
Change 1h-5.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.