← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130610
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 30.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.0%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.
Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.3¢ / 96.6¢ / 95.5¢
Spread2.3¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d+0.95pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 90% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$10
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$765 / $912
Imbalance90% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.73
RSI (14, hourly)47.7
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.