← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130620
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, down 39.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-39.00pt
Change 7d-31.50pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$98,387
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$793 / $1,080
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)12
Liquidity score35.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 28 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.89
RSI (14, hourly)27.7
Realized vol 7d4.44pt
Change 1h-58.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.