← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130621
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$384,450
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$115,145 / $1,447,527
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)16
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.39
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.