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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130673

49ers Team Total: O/U 10.5

98.5% implied · bid 97.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid97.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 98.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+0.65pt
Change 7d+48.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$11
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,172 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.94
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d7.84pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 1h.

Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.