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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5130675

49ers Team Total: O/U 13.5

93.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 13.9¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 99.9¢ / 93.0¢
Spread13.9¢ (15.0%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d+42.80pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$10
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.79
RSI (14, hourly)78.5
Realized vol 7d2.25pt
Change 1h-2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.