← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5170825
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+9.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$140
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$612 / $2,158
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.43
RSI (14, hourly)59.6
Realized vol 7d3.08pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 4h.
Time to resolve12d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.