← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5387531
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 53.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$78,753
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,532 / $8,990
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score55.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.99
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h-4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.