← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5387533
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,983
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,658 / $10,022
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 77 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 8.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean8.14
RSI (14, hourly)77.3
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h+8.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.