← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5387539
Will Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$962
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,088 / $7,360
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 23.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean23.19
RSI (14, hourly)61.9
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+4.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.