Refacto TerminalPolymarket
Healthy
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5404330

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

☆ Log in to track☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, down 3.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-3.70pt
Change 7d-44.45pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$96,825
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $77
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 19 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.03
RSI (14, hourly)18.8
Realized vol 7d7.01pt
Change 1h-1.70pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.