← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5409694
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-33.50pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$405
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,596 / $3,018
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.67pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 19h.
Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskhigh (65)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.