← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5410007
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.7%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability98.7%
Bid / ask / mid98.6¢ / 98.7¢ / 98.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+47.65pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,426
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,912 / $473,641
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.70
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d4.18pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 19h.
Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.