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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5410008

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

93.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+43.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$735
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27,315 / $103,157
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.91pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 19h.

Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.