← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5410023
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 90.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+39.50pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$225
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$791 / $881
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.15
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d6.40pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 19h.
Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.