← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5410044
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.5%, up 40.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.5%
Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 91.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (9.8%)
Change 24h+40.00pt
Change 7d+42.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 92% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $269
Imbalance92% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.76
RSI (14, hourly)49.8
Realized vol 7d9.82pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 19h.
Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.