← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5410189
Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.0%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid96.3¢ / 96.7¢ / 96.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+45.50pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 98/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,020 / $82,998
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score97.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 68 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.79
RSI (14, hourly)68.0
Realized vol 7d3.84pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 19h.
Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.