← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5458405
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 76.9%, up 16.8pt over 24h, on a 9.6¢ spread.
Implied probability76.9%
Bid / ask / mid69.1¢ / 78.7¢ / 73.9¢
Spread9.6¢ (13.0%)
Change 24h+16.80pt
Change 7d-18.10pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 2/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,000
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$90 / $7
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score2.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.01
RSI (14, hourly)92.8
Realized vol 7d2.18pt
Change 1h-0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 42d 5h.
Time to resolve42d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.